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Posted by: Kim_Hamilton on 10/24/2008 12:40 AM Updated by: Kim_Hamilton on 10/24/2008 03:46 PM
Expires: 01/01/2013 12:00 AM
:

Polls apart: Why polls vary on presidential race

WASHINGTON (AP) - Barack Obama is galloping away with the presidential race. Or maybe he has a modest lead. Or maybe he and John McCain are neck and neck. Confusing? Sure, thanks to the dueling results of recent major polls. In the past week, most surveys have shown Democrat Obama with a significant national lead over Republican McCain. Focusing on "likely voters"—as many polling organizations prefer this close to Election Day—an ABC News-Washington Post survey showed Obama leading by 11 percentage points. A Wall Street Journal-NBC News poll had the same margin, while the nonpartisan Pew Research Center gave Obama a 14-point edge. But others had the race much closer. CNN Opinion Research detected an Obama lead of 5 points. The George Washington University Battleground Poll had Obama up by 4 points. And an Associated Press-GfK poll showed Obama at 44 percent and McCain at 43 percent—in effect, a tie.




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