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Posted by: thepinetree on 06/05/2018 09:52 AM Updated by: thepinetree on 06/05/2018 09:52 AM
Expires: 01/01/2023 12:00 AM

46% Likely to Move Out of Bay Area in Next Few Years

San Francisco, CA...Growing pessimism among voters about the overall direction the Bay Area is heading has more and more people thinking about heading for the doors. Bay Area Council Poll results released today (June 3) found that 46 percent of voters are ready to leave in the next few years, up from 40 percent last year and 34 percent in 2016.

And once again, millennials are leading the charge for the doors with 52 percent saying they will be seeking greener pastures in the next few years, up from 46 percent in 2017. Renters, people without college degrees and those spending 50 percent and more of their income on housing also want out.

Where They’re Headed

Where people are headed drew a range of destinations. Of 461 voters who said they plan to leave, the poll found 24 percent plan to move elsewhere in California while 61 percent said they would look outside the Golden State. Texas was a popular destination, according to the poll, with 10 percent saying they would mosey on down to the Long Horn State.

Oregon, Nevada and Arizona also can expect to see a bump in former Bay Area residents in the next few years, the poll found. Another 6 percent said they would go just about anywhere that was more affordable and has lower taxes.

“These results are tough to report, but we can’t let this growing pessimism become a self-fulfilling prophecy,” said Jim Wunderman, President and CEO of the Bay Area Council. “There’s still time to get a handle on our housing and transportation problems, but it will require strong leadership and partnership across the region to do it combined with bold thinking and decisive action. We can’t wait until our economy tanks to fix these problems and letting our economy tank is not a solution.”

Housing, Traffic, Homelessness Top Issues

The Bay Area’s stratospheric housing costs, overall high cost of living and bumper-to-bumper traffic are the main culprits behind the region’s worsening grumpiness. The housing crisis topped the list of most nettlesome issues for the fourth straight year, according to the Bay Area Council Poll, with 42 percent mentioning it in an open-ended question as the region’s leading problem. Traffic was the second most-mentioned problem. Homelessness followed closely behind. Fewer mentioned concerns over development, over population and gentrification.

Who’s Responsible for Fixing the Problems?

Bay Area voters are clear on who they think is most responsible for fixing the region’s housing and transportation travails. The poll found that 56 percent of voters think cities, counties and other public agencies are most responsible for making housing more affordable while an even bigger 66 percent say government agencies bear primary responsibility for improving traffic and transportation.

And while much blame has been heaped on the booming tech industry for the region’s problems, the poll found that just 19 percent of voters think it is the responsibility of tech companies to solve the housing affordability problem while 18 percent said it’s the job of tech employers to fix the region’s worsening traffic.

Economic Outlook on Sharp Descent

While Bay Area voters continue to be mostly optimistic about the regional economy, their outlook has dimmed dramatically over the past four years. Just 25 percent of voters surveyed say the Bay Area is headed in the right direction, a precipitous drop from just four years ago when 57 percent held a favorable outlook for the region. That pessimism is also creeping into voters’ attitudes about the Bay Area’s seemingly invincible economy, even as unemployment reaches record lows.

In 2014, 50 percent of voters surveyed in the Bay Area Council Poll expected the economy to improve. In 2018, that figure has plunged to just 25 percent. Just as troubling, the poll found 47 percent of voters expect a significant economic downturn sometime in the next three years.

econ outlook

Voters’ view of their own financial outlook has also slipped. Since 2016, the poll found a considerable narrowing between the number of voters who see happy days ahead for themselves and those who expect to things to get worse financially. Echoing concerns about the region’s soaring cost of living, those with lower incomes harbor the greatest pessimism about how they are doing financially.

The 2018 Bay Area Council Poll, which was conducted online by Oakland-based public opinion research firm EMC Research from March 20 through April 3, surveyed 1,000 registered voters from around the nine-county Bay Area about a range of issues related to economic growth, housing and transportation, drought, education and workforce.

Comments - Make a comment
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Just what we need, more assholes up here.
Posted on: 2018-06-05 10:02:26   By: Anonymous

[Reply ]

    Re: Just what we need, more assholes up here.
    Posted on: 2018-06-05 10:05:25   By: Anonymous
    Well a few millennial tech families that can bring their jobs with them would sure help

    [Reply ]

      Re: Just what we need, more assholes up here.
      Posted on: 2018-06-05 10:12:54   By: Anonymous
      Stay in Commiefornia. PLEASE!!!!!

      [Reply ]

    Re: Just what we need, more assholes up here.
    Posted on: 2018-06-05 10:28:08   By: Anonymous
    Don't come here, say all the bay area retirees who came ten years ago and now think they own the place

    [Reply ]

      Re: Just what we need, more assholes up here.
      Posted on: 2018-06-05 12:41:05   By: Anonymous
      When is the gate going to be locked at county line?

      [Reply ]

      Re: Just what we need, more assholes up here.
      Posted on: 2018-06-05 21:10:25   By: Anonymous
      Lol agreed

      [Reply ]

    Re: Just what we need, more assholes up here.
    Posted on: 2018-06-05 10:40:10   By: Anonymous
    If they didn't come here there would be no employment for the ignorant Trumptards that cant think for themselves
    They are welcome with open arms or this county is done
    The local inbreds dont have the brains to run the place

    [Reply ]

      Re: Just what we need, more assholes up here.
      Posted on: 2018-06-05 11:00:05   By: Anonymous
      Actually a study by the Alameda Realtors revealed that 30% of east bay residents thought that the mother lode would be a great place to live.

      [Reply ]

      Re: Just what we need, more assholes up here.
      Posted on: 2018-06-06 07:17:53   By: Anonymous
      Those Trumptards pay for your food-stamps, you ignorant democrap. Did you know 72% of inmates are democraps? Without Republicans working, you'd be getting your food from dumpster diving. You should be on your hands and knees kissing President Trumps AS S.

      [Reply ]

    Re: Just what we need, more assholes up here.
    Posted on: 2018-06-06 02:02:17   By: Anonymous

    [Reply ]

      Re: Just what we need, more assholes up here.
      Posted on: 2018-06-07 23:39:14   By: Anonymous
      must be true, after all it's in bold upper case letters....

      [Reply ]

No Subject
Posted on: 2018-06-05 11:23:50   By: Anonymous
The traffic on Friday nite's and then again on Sunday substantiate this poll! Bay Area people flock to the mtns. To get away from the cesspool called the Bay Area! They bring the same values that they have in the Bay Area with them, I love to drive slow so they are forced to pass on the right shoulder just last week one Yuppie on a Tesla passed me on the right and almost totaled his car on a cedar tree!

[Reply ]

Posted on: 2018-06-05 11:52:34   By: Anonymous
Like a cancer. Wherever Californias go, they screw it up.

[Reply ]

    Re: Californians
    Posted on: 2018-06-05 12:25:05   By: Anonymous

    [Reply ]

      Re: Californians
      Posted on: 2018-06-05 13:15:59   By: Anonymous
      California sucks monkey balls.

      [Reply ]

        Re: Californians
        Posted on: 2018-06-05 14:04:30   By: Anonymous
        Moved to SD, growing in my basement, making $10K from the oil riggers.

        [Reply ]

          Re: Californians
          Posted on: 2018-06-05 17:38:33   By: Anonymous
          Bring them on up here. Little do the few low life’s here know, lots of them already have second homes and, contribute in a huge way to our economy. This only increases our lot and home prices. “Perhaps” some locals can get a job and earn a paycheck. Congratulations to the honest hardworking individuals who like to provide honest services.

          [Reply ]

            Re: Californians
            Posted on: 2018-06-05 18:41:30   By: Anonymous
            California blows anus burgers

            [Reply ]

Baby ducks..
Posted on: 2018-06-06 00:18:10   By: Anonymous
are leaving California.

[Reply ]

    Re: city slickers
    Posted on: 2018-06-06 06:51:11   By: Anonymous
    The locals (born and raised) here are watching a nice county go to sh!t. The traffic congestion is becoming a joke and the city slickers drive up here like they are at a race. Passing over double yellow lines, blind curves and when cars are coming from the opposite direction. The attitudes they bring with them are bull. Stay in the city and leave the county alone. Also just because you moved up here 5 years ago does not nor will it ever mean your from here.

    [Reply ]

      Re: city slickers
      Posted on: 2018-06-06 09:15:58   By: Anonymous
      Flat landers come up here laughing at locals that are “stuck on stupid.” Some of us locals need a serious reality check. BIG TIME

      [Reply ]

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